October 13th's Report
It's Monday, October 13th, 2025. Israel-Gaza ceasefire held for its second full day as tens of thousands of Palestinians returned to northern Gaza encountering catastrophic destruction with 117 bodies recovered from rubble in 24 hours while Israeli hospitals prepared to receive 20 living hostages expected October 13. Pakistani and Afghan Taliban forces engaged in deadliest border clashes since Taliban's 2021 return to power with 23 Pakistani soldiers killed and Pakistan claiming over 200 Taliban fighters killed in overnight fighting that began late October 11 and continued into October 12 across multiple border sectors. Rapid Support Forces killed 17 children including a 7-day-old infant in drone and artillery strikes on Dar al-Arqam Displacement Centre in el-Fasher, North Darfur on morning of October 12 marking 500th day of city's siege. Ukrainian forces reported 203 combat engagements across frontlines on October 12 with 1,240 claimed Russian casualties as President Trump threatened Tomahawk missile deliveries to Ukraine if Russia refuses peace settlement. Hackers publicly released 5.7 million stolen Qantas Airways customer records on October 12 after Salesforce refused ransom demands following June 30 breach.
Active Theaters
Middle East & North Africa
- Israel-Gaza ceasefire held throughout October 12 marking second full day without major violations as Israeli forces completed first-phase withdrawal
- At least 117 bodies recovered from rubble in 24 hours ending October 12 with 7 additional deaths reported by Palestinian Ministry of Health
- Israeli hospitals prepared to receive 20 living hostages and 28 deceased hostages expected for release October 13 between 4:00-6:00 a.m.
- Yemen's Houthi movement announced conditional ceasefire from Israel attacks on October 12 dependent on full Gaza ceasefire implementation
- President Trump departed United States on October 12 for Middle East trip arriving Israel October 13 before Egypt peace summit
Israel-Gaza ceasefire consolidates on second day
The ceasefire that commenced October 10 at noon local time remained in effect throughout October 12 without major violations. Israeli forces completed first-phase withdrawal from populated areas including Gaza City and Khan Younis, though Israel maintained control of approximately 53 percent of Gaza territory including buffer zones and the Philadelphi Corridor along the Egypt border. The ceasefire entered its 49th hour at midnight on October 12.
Tens of thousands of Palestinians began returning to northern Gaza on October 12, with satellite imagery showing lines of vehicles traveling north on main routes. Returnees encountered widespread destruction with more than 430,000 homes damaged or destroyed representing 92 percent of Gaza's residential buildings according to assessments. Jawad Mahmoud Ajjour, 80, stated he had never seen that level of destruction despite witnessing wars in 1956 and 1967. UN Humanitarian Chief Tom Fletcher described the scene as much of Gaza being a wasteland.
The Palestinian Ministry of Health reported at least 117 bodies recovered from rubble in the 24 hours ending October 12, with 7 additional deaths in the same period. Gaza Civil Defense told CNN on October 12 that approximately 10,000 Palestinians remain buried under rubble across Gaza since October 7, 2023. The cumulative death toll reached 67,806 Palestinians killed with 170,066 injuries since the war began.
Humanitarian aid operations show progress
The UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs reported real progress in aid operations on October 12, with the first cooking gas entering Gaza since March 2025. Dozens of humanitarian aid trucks lined up at the Rafah Border Crossing on the Egyptian side. Israel approved additional aid shipments totaling 190,000 metric tons of food, shelter materials, medicine, and essential supplies for immediate distribution.
Medical facilities across Gaza remained overwhelmed with casualties from the war. The World Health Organization reported only 17 of Gaza's 36 hospitals remained partially functional, with most lacking adequate supplies, electricity, and clean water. International medical teams coordinated with local health authorities to establish field hospitals in areas of greatest need. Doctors Without Borders emphasized urgent requirements for medical equipment, medicines, and surgical capacity to treat ongoing health emergencies.
Hostage release preparations intensify for October 13
While no hostages were released on October 12, intensive preparations continued for the expected October 13 release. Israeli hospitals prepared to receive 20 living hostages anticipated between 4:00 and 6:00 a.m. local time on October 13, with 28 deceased hostages also expected to be returned. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated on October 12 that Israel is ready and prepared for the immediate reception of all hostages, adding that the military campaign is not over.
Tel Aviv's Ichilov Hospital prepared specialized facilities with two-bed rooms for family members and playgrounds for children. Medical teams anticipated treating malnutrition, orthopedic problems from captivity, and severe psychological trauma. In exchange, 250 Palestinian prisoners serving life sentences and 1,700 Palestinians detained from Gaza after October 7, 2023 were slated for release following the hostage return.
The hostage families forum maintained vigil outside military headquarters in Tel Aviv, with relatives expressing cautious optimism mixed with anxiety about the condition of their loved ones. Security preparations included establishing secure corridors for hostage transport from Gaza to Israeli medical facilities, with forensic teams standing by to receive remains of deceased hostages for identification and burial.
Yemen Houthis announce conditional ceasefire
Hazem al-Asad, a member of the Houthi political bureau, announced on October 12 that the group would conditionally cease missile and drone attacks targeting Israel. The statement, published at 17:15 local time, made clear the ceasefire depends entirely on full implementation of the Gaza ceasefire and hostage exchange agreement. The Houthis vowed to resume attacks if Israel violates ceasefire terms.
This announcement came three days after Houthi leader Abdul-Malik al-Houthi warned on October 9 that the group would closely monitor Israel's adherence to the Gaza ceasefire agreement. The conditional promise represents a tactical pause rather than a formal peace agreement, with the Houthis explicitly linking their actions to Israel's compliance. Since 2023, the Iran-aligned Houthis had launched dozens of long-range strikes toward Israel in what they termed solidarity with Gaza.
Trump departs for Middle East peace mission
President Trump departed the United States on October 12 for his Middle East trip, scheduled to arrive in Israel on October 13 at 9:20 a.m. Aboard Air Force One, Trump stated the administration had a lot of verbal guarantees from Israel, Hamas, and regional players, expressing confidence that the war is over and saying he does not think they are going to want to disappoint him. Trump planned to address the Israeli Knesset before traveling to Egypt for a peace summit in Sharm el-Sheikh.
More than 20 world leaders were invited to the Sharm el-Sheikh summit co-chaired by Trump and Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi, including UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron, and leaders from Germany, Jordan, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Turkey. The summit aims to establish frameworks for Gaza reconstruction, longer-term ceasefire mechanisms, and regional security arrangements following the two-year conflict.
Europe
- Ukrainian forces reported 203 combat engagements across frontlines on October 12 with Pokrovsk direction experiencing heaviest fighting
- Ukraine claimed 1,240 Russian casualties on October 12 with equipment losses including 1 tank, 10 artillery systems, 244 drones, 87 vehicles
- President Trump threatened to send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine if Russia refuses peace settlement in October 12 call with Zelenskyy
- Zelenskyy committed Ukraine would only use Tomahawks against Russian military targets while Kremlin warned of extreme concern
- Russian forces struck Ukrainian energy infrastructure overnight October 11-12 wounding 2 DTEK employees and cutting power to settlements
Frontline combat reaches 203 clashes across multiple sectors
Ukrainian forces reported 203 combat engagements across the frontline on October 12, with the Pokrovsk direction experiencing the heaviest fighting with 58 enemy offensive actions repelled. According to Ukraine's General Staff, Russian forces conducted 1 missile strike, 82 airstrikes dropping 147 guided bombs, 4,476 artillery and gunfire attacks including 133 with multiple launch rocket systems, and deployed 4,804 kamikaze drones throughout the day.
The Ukrainian General Staff reported 1,240 Russian personnel casualties on October 12, with equipment losses including 1 tank, 10 artillery systems, 244 operational-tactical drones, 87 vehicles, and 3 pieces of special equipment. Total cumulative Russian losses reached approximately 1,122,810 personnel since February 24, 2022, according to Ukraine's Ministry of Finance casualties tracker. Russian sources claimed approximately 1,460 Ukrainian casualties, though this figure from pro-Russian sources could not be independently verified.
The Kupiansk Direction saw 15 enemy attacks near Kupiansk, Petropavlivka, Bohuslavka, Nova Kruhliakivka, and Stepova Novoselivka, with one 49-year-old woman killed in Kupiansk shelling. The Lyman Direction experienced 14 attacks around Shandryholove, Derylove, Kolodiazi, Kopanky, and Karpivka. The Kostiantynivka Direction repelled 21 attacks on Oleksandro-Shultyne, Shcherbynivka, Pleshchiivka, and Rusyn Yar.
The Oleksandrivka Direction witnessed 36 attacks repelled around Malynivka, Poltavka, Oleksandrohrad, Pavlivka, Zelenyi Hai, and Sichneve. Ukrainian forces struck 2 areas of personnel and equipment concentration, destroyed 3 command-and-observation posts, 1 UAV storage facility, and hit 3 other important enemy targets. Defense forces maintained positions along all active sectors despite sustained Russian offensive operations.
Trump threatens Tomahawk missile deliveries in second Zelenskyy call
President Trump held his second call with President Zelenskyy in two days on October 12, threatening to send Tomahawk cruise missiles to Ukraine if Russia refuses to settle the war. Speaking aboard Air Force One, Trump stated he might say to Russia that if this war is not going to get settled, he would send them Tomahawks, calling the Tomahawk an incredible weapon and very offensive weapon, adding that Russia does not need that.
Trump indicated he might speak to Russia about Tomahawks before sending them, calling the missiles a new step of aggression. He stated he had sort of made a decision earlier in the week but wanted to know what Ukraine plans to do with the missiles. Tomahawks have a range of up to 1,550 miles capable of reaching Moscow from Ukrainian territory. Zelenskyy described the call as very productive, posting that discussions covered all aspects of the situation including defense of life, strengthening capabilities in air defense, resilience, and long-range capabilities.
In a Fox News interview, Zelenskyy committed that Ukraine would only use Tomahawk missiles against Russian military targets, not civilian infrastructure. The Ukrainian president emphasized the need for long-range strike capability to target Russian ammunition depots, command centers, and military airfields deep inside Russian territory that currently launch attacks against Ukrainian cities with impunity.
Kremlin expresses extreme concern over Tomahawk discussions
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov responded on October 12 stating that the topic of Tomahawks is of extreme concern, calling it a very dramatic moment in terms of the fact that tensions are escalating from all sides. Peskov warned this would represent a completely new, qualitatively new stage of escalation, noting some Tomahawk variants can carry nuclear warheads. He stated that just imagine a long-range missile is launched and is flying and we know that it could be nuclear.
Production constraints may limit potential transfers, with the Pentagon planning to purchase only 57 missiles in 2026 and annual production ranging from 55 to 90 missiles in recent years. French President Emmanuel Macron also spoke with Zelenskyy on October 12, condemning latest Russian strikes and warning that if Russia persists in its obstinate warmongering and its refusal to come to the negotiating table, it will have to pay the price.
Russian strikes target energy infrastructure overnight
Russian forces launched extensive attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure overnight October 11 into October 12, targeting substations and power facilities across at least nine regions. Two DTEK employees were wounded in strikes on a substation in Boryspil district of Kyiv region, with both injured workers hospitalized and 3 settlements left partially without power. Regions targeted included Kyiv, Donetsk, Odesa, Chernihiv, Sumy, Kharkiv, Poltava, Zaporizhzhia, and Dnipropetrovsk.
President Zelenskyy stated on October 12 that Russia continues its aerial terror against cities and communities, intensifying strikes on energy infrastructure, noting that over the past week Russia launched more than 3,100 drones, 92 missiles, and around 1,360 glide bombs. Ukrainian Air Force reported intercepting or jamming 103 out of 118 Russian drones launched during the night of October 11-12, with 15 drones and 1 missile striking targets in 10 different locations.
Russia has systematically targeted Ukrainian energy infrastructure before each winter since the full-scale invasion, aiming to erode civilian morale through power and heating outages. Ukraine has lost 80 percent of thermal capacity, with transmission capacity falling from 56 GW to an estimated 9 GW, forcing reliance on three Soviet-era nuclear power plants for two-thirds of electricity generation as winter approaches.
Sub-Saharan Africa
- Rapid Support Forces killed 17 children including 7-day-old infant in drone and artillery strikes on el-Fasher displacement center October 12
- Combined drone strikes and artillery shells hit displacement center at Omdurman Islamic University with total casualties reaching up to 60
- Attack occurred on 500th day of RSF siege of el-Fasher with 413,454 civilians trapped under catastrophic humanitarian conditions
- UNICEF condemned attack as unconscionable violation with UN calling for immediate investigations and accountability
RSF attack on displacement camp kills 17 children
Seventeen children were killed and 21 injured in an attack on the Dar al-Arqam Displacement Centre in el-Fasher, North Darfur, early Saturday morning October 12. The victims included one infant just 7 days old, with casualties ranging from infants to teenagers including 9 girls and 8 boys killed. Total casualties reached up to 60 people, with the Sudan Doctors' Network reporting 57 killed including 22 women and 17 children in the assault.
The Rapid Support Forces launched 2 drone strikes and 8 artillery shells on the displacement center located at Omdurman Islamic University. Sudan Doctors' Network stated most of the victims sustained serious injuries as a result of deliberate missile and artillery shelling by drones and heavy weapons. Some victims were burned alive inside the shelter caravans, with bodies remaining under rubble hours after the attack.
UNICEF Executive Director Catherine Russell condemned the attack on October 12, stating this devastating attack on children and families who were already displaced and seeking safety is an outrage. She emphasized that killing and injuring children are grave violations of their rights, and attacks on civilians in places meant to offer safety and refuge are unconscionable. The attack represented one of the single deadliest incidents against displaced civilians since the civil war began.
El-Fasher siege enters 500th day with catastrophic conditions
El-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur state and last major city in Darfur held by Sudanese Armed Forces, has been under RSF siege for more than 500 days since May 10, 2024. The city's pre-war population of 1.11 million has declined 62 percent to approximately 413,454, with around 260,000 civilians remaining trapped inside the besieged city facing severe restrictions on movement, food, water, and medical care.
Famine has been declared in several North Darfur areas for months, with the UN reporting sharp rises in severe acute malnutrition among children and increasing preventable child deaths from hunger and disease. Supply routes remain disrupted and aid convoys face looting, making humanitarian access almost impossible. Most hospitals in el-Fasher have been repeatedly bombed and forced to shut, leaving only one facility with surgical capacity still partially operational.
UN Resident and Humanitarian Coordinator Denise Brown issued a statement on October 13 condemning in the strongest possible terms the repeated and deliberate targeting of civilians in North Darfur. She reiterated her appeal for respect for international humanitarian law and an immediate end to attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure, demanding thorough, impartial investigations with those responsible held accountable.
Sudan civil war drives world's largest humanitarian crisis
The conflict between Sudanese Armed Forces and the Rapid Support Forces has raged since April 2023, killing tens of thousands and displacing approximately 15 million people internally and externally. An estimated 25 million face acute hunger in what is described as the world's largest humanitarian crisis. The war has devastated Sudan's infrastructure, collapsed the healthcare system, and created mass displacement across Darfur, Khartoum, and other regions.
International efforts to broker peace have repeatedly failed, with both sides rejecting ceasefire proposals and continuing military operations. The RSF's siege tactics around el-Fasher include construction of dozens of kilometers of walls around the city, leaving only small exits where forces reportedly extort civilians for safe passage. Humanitarian agencies warn that without immediate intervention, mass starvation and preventable deaths will continue to escalate throughout the besieged areas.
South & Central Asia
- Twenty-three Pakistani soldiers killed in border clashes erupting 10:00 p.m. October 11 continuing into October 12 marking worst fighting since 2021
- Pakistan claimed over 200 Taliban militants killed while Afghanistan claimed 58 Pakistani soldiers killed with casualty figures unverified
- Clashes spanned multiple border locations including Angoor Adda, Bajaur, Kurram on Pakistani side and Kunar, Nangarhar, Helmand on Afghan side
- Pakistan accused Afghan Taliban of facilitating India-sponsored terrorism while Afghanistan characterized operations as defensive response
- Taliban halted operations October 12 at Qatar and Saudi Arabia request with Pakistan closing multiple border crossings
Deadliest Pakistan-Afghanistan border fighting since 2021
Twenty-three Pakistani soldiers were killed in major border clashes that erupted around 10:00 p.m. local time on October 11, continuing into October 12, according to Pakistan's Inter-Services Public Relations. Pakistan claimed over 200 Taliban and affiliated militants were killed, with 29 Pakistani soldiers wounded. Afghanistan's Taliban provided drastically different figures, claiming 58 Pakistani soldiers killed and 30 wounded, while admitting 9 Taliban fighters killed and 12 to 18 injured. These casualty figures could not be independently verified by international media.
Clashes occurred across multiple border locations including Angoor Adda, Bajaur, Kurram, Dir, and Chitral on the Pakistani side, and Kunar, Nangarhar, Helmand, Paktika, and Khost provinces on the Afghan side. The confrontations spanned the disputed 2,640 km Durand Line border, with both sides deploying artillery, tanks, armed drones, and conducting coordinated operations across numerous sectors simultaneously.
Pakistan's ISPR stated forces briefly physically captured 21 Afghan border posts and destroyed multiple Taliban installations including the Manojba Camp Battalion Headquarters, Jandusar Post, Turkmenzai Camp, and Kharchar Fort. Multiple terrorist training camps were rendered inoperative. Conversely, Taliban spokesman Zabihullah Mujahid claimed 25 Pakistani army posts were captured, with 3 Pakistani border posts seized in Kunar and Helmand provinces along with significant amounts of Pakistani weapons.
Pakistan frames clashes as terrorism, Afghanistan calls them retaliation
The ISPR statement released October 12 described the events as an unprovoked attack on Pakistan by Afghan Taliban and India-sponsored Fitna-al-Khawarij, the term Pakistan uses for TTP. The military stated that last night's episode vindicates Pakistan's long-standing position that the Taliban government is actively facilitating the terrorists. The statement warned that if the Taliban government continues to sponsor terrorist outfits in cohorts with India for the shortsighted objective of destabilizing the region, the people and state of Pakistan will not rest until the menace of terrorism emanating from Afghanistan is completely eliminated.
Afghan Ministry of Defence spokesperson Enayatullah Khowarizmi stated Afghan forces launched retaliatory operations against Pakistani security forces in response to repeated violations of Afghanistan's airspace and territory. The operations ended at midnight on October 12, with Khowarizmi stating that if the opposing side violates Afghanistan's territory again, armed forces are ready to defend their territory and will respond firmly. The Afghan government maintains it does not harbor or support TTP militants.
Immediate trigger: Pakistani airstrikes target TTP leadership
The immediate trigger for the October 11-12 clashes was Pakistani airstrikes conducted on October 9, 2025, targeting locations in Kabul near Abdul Haq Square, as well as Khost, Jalalabad, and Paktika. The strikes aimed to kill Noor Wali Mehsud, leader of Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, though Mehsud survived and released video proving he escaped. At least two senior TTP members were killed in the strikes according to Pakistani sources.
The underlying tension centers on Pakistan's accusation that the Afghan Taliban provides safe haven to TTP militants who conduct attacks inside Pakistan. Afghanistan consistently denies these allegations. Pakistan has increasingly resorted to cross-border airstrikes targeting claimed TTP hideouts, with 2025 on track to be one of Pakistan's deadliest years with 2,414 fatalities recorded in the first three quarters according to the Centre for Research and Security Studies.
Regional powers call for restraint as operations pause
Taliban spokesman Mujahid announced on October 12 that retaliatory operations were halted last night at the request of Qatar and Saudi Arabia. Qatar's Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed deep concern and urged both sides to prioritise dialogue and diplomacy, exercise restraint, and work to contain the disputes in a way that helps reduce tension. Saudi Arabia called for restraint, avoiding escalation, and embracing dialogue and wisdom. Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that both sides must exercise restraint and that stability between the countries contributes to regional stability.
Pakistan closed multiple border crossings on October 12, disrupting trade and travel, including the main Torkham and Chaman crossings, as well as Kharlachi, Angoor Adda, and Ghulam Khan. Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif stated there will be no compromise on Pakistan's defense, and every provocation will be met with a strong and effective response. The timing of clashes coincided with Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi's visit to India where India announced plans to reopen its embassy in Kabul, adding diplomatic complexity to regional tensions.
Cyber & Space
- Hackers released 5.7 million stolen Qantas customer records on October 12 after Salesforce refused ransom following June 30 breach
- Breach compromised 4 million records with limited information and 1.7 million with detailed data including addresses and phone numbers
- Attack conducted by Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters coalition using social engineering and OAuth credential abuse on Salesforce platform
- Data widely available on dark web and clear web with FBI tracking campaign as UNC6040 after September 12 alert
Qantas customer data breach goes public after ransom refusal
Hackers publicly released stolen Qantas Airways customer data on October 12, 2025, following Salesforce's refusal to pay ransom demands. The breach, which occurred on June 30, 2025 through compromise of a third-party Salesforce platform, affected 5.7 million unique customer records. The data was released after a ransom deadline of October 10-12 expired, with attackers posting the information to multiple dark web and clear web sites.
The compromised data included 4 million records containing limited information such as name, email address, and Qantas Frequent Flyer number, with some records including tier, status credits, and points balance. Another 1.7 million records included more detailed information including 1.3 million addresses for residential, business, and hotels for baggage delivery, 1.1 million dates of birth, 900,000 phone numbers including mobile, landline, and business, 400,000 gender entries, and 10,000 meal preferences. The breach did not compromise credit card details, personal financial information, passport details, or passwords, PINs, or login credentials for Frequent Flyer accounts.
Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters coalition behind attack
The attack was conducted by a coalition of cybercriminal groups including ShinyHunters, Scattered Spider, and LAPSUS$ operating under the banner Scattered LAPSUS$ Hunters. The attackers used social engineering and OAuth credential abuse to compromise the Salesforce/Salesloft Drift integration used by Qantas's contact center. The group claimed to have stolen data from 39 global companies via the Salesforce compromise, including Disney, Toyota, FedEx, McDonald's, GAP, Home Depot, and Marriott.
Qantas issued an official statement on October 12 confirming the airline is one of a number of companies globally that has had data released by cyber criminals following a cyber incident in early July, where customer data was stolen via a third party platform. The airline obtained a NSW Supreme Court injunction to prevent data access and distribution, established a 24-hour dedicated support line, and worked with the Australian Cyber Security Centre, Australian Federal Police, and National Cyber Security Coordinator on response efforts.
Data containment proves impossible after public release
Troy Hunt, founder of Have I Been Pwned, confirmed on October 12 that the data was widely available on both dark web and clear web. After the FBI took down one distribution domain, hackers immediately posted to alternative sites. Hunt stated the data is all over the place and there is absolutely no putting the genie back in the bottle. Salesforce maintained its position of refusing to engage with extortion demands throughout the incident.
The FBI issued a FLASH alert on September 12, 2025 tracking the campaign as UNC6040 and UNC6395. The breach represents one of Australia's largest data compromises since Optus and Medibank in 2022, prompting strengthened Australian cyber resilience laws. Maurice Blackburn law firm filed a class action lawsuit against Qantas on behalf of affected customers seeking compensation for the data exposure and potential downstream fraud risks.
Inactive Theaters
East Asia-Pacific & Americas
No significant conflict developments, military operations, terrorist attacks, or security incidents were documented across East Asia-Pacific and Americas theaters on October 12, 2025. North Korea's Hwasong-20 ICBM military parade occurred on October 10, not October 12. China's bounty targeting 18 Taiwanese military officers was announced on October 11, not October 12. No verified ELN pipeline attacks or other security incidents occurred in Colombia on October 12, which was a national public holiday. The absence of immediate events during this reporting period reflects normal variance in daily conflict cycles rather than resolution of underlying security challenges affecting these regions.