November 5th's Report

It's Wednesday, November 5, 2025. November 4 recorded at least 886 casualties across global conflict zones, with Ukraine's grinding war claiming 840 Russian personnel as 163 combat engagements concentrated in Pokrovsk sector. Sudan suffered its deadliest single incident when a drone strike killed 40 civilians at a funeral in North Kordofan State. The United States conducted its 16th deadly airstrike on an alleged drug vessel in Caribbean waters killing 2 people, while deploying the USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group toward the region in the largest U.S. naval presence since the 1989 Panama invasion. Belgian defense authorities confirmed sophisticated drone surveillance operations targeting NATO nuclear weapons storage at Kleine-Brogel Air Base. Nigerian forces repelled a major Boko Haram assault with air support from Niger. The Middle East remained relatively calm under active ceasefires in Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen, though Hamas returned the body of the last American hostage held since October 7, 2023.

Active Theaters

Europe

  • Russian forces conducted 163 combat engagements across Ukraine with 840 personnel casualties claimed by Ukrainian military on November 4
  • Russia launched 1 Iskander-M missile, 6 S-300 missiles, 130 Shahed drones overnight with 92 intercepted by Ukrainian air defenses
  • Ukrainian drones struck Lukoil refinery in Kstovo processing 17 million tons annually and supplying 30% of Moscow region fuel
  • Ukraine hit Roskhim Petrochemical Plant in Bashkortostan causing water treatment collapse and power outages affecting 16,000 residents in Russia
  • Russian forces with 260-300 soldiers penetrated Pokrovsk city accounting for 30% of all frontline engagements in Donetsk Oblast sector
  • Sophisticated drones conducted multi-night surveillance over NATO nuclear weapons facility at Kleine-Brogel Air Base in Belgium evading Belgian helicopters
  • President Putin signed law enabling year-round conscription starting January 2026 and announced serial production of Oreshnik ballistic missiles
  • Russian FPV drone struck two unarmed civilians carrying white flag in Kruhlyakivka, Kharkiv Oblast killing both in war crime
High-intensity combat continues across 163 engagements

Russian forces conducted 163 combat engagements in the 24-hour period ending 08:00 AM on November 4, deploying 5 missile strikes with 11 missiles, 75 air strikes with 147 guided aerial bombs, 4,574 artillery attacks, and 6,411 kamikaze drones across Ukrainian positions. Ukraine claimed 840 Russian personnel killed or wounded, along with destruction of 5 tanks, 42 artillery systems, and 425 tactical UAVs. Pokrovsk direction experienced the heaviest concentration with 260-300 Russian soldiers operating within the city, accounting for 30% of all frontline engagements as Russia continued pushing toward this critical logistics hub.

Overnight November 3-4, Russia launched a combined assault with 1 Iskander-M ballistic missile, 6 S-300 missiles, and 130 Shahed-type drones. Ukrainian air defenses destroyed 92 drones, but 1 missile and 31 drones struck targets across 14 locations, damaging civilian buildings, port infrastructure in Odesa region's Izmail, and energy facilities in Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Chernihiv oblasts. Two firefighters sustained injuries in Kharkiv region during response operations.

Ukraine strikes major Russian energy and defense infrastructure

Ukraine responded with major deep strike operations using over 50 Bober and FP-1 drones against Russian energy and defense infrastructure on November 4. Ukrainian forces struck the Lukoil-Nizhegorodnefteorgsintez Oil Refinery in Kstovo, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, which processes 17 million tons annually and supplies 30% of Moscow region fuel, causing major fires. Additional strikes hit the Roskhim Sterlitamak Petrochemical Plant in Bashkortostan responsible for aviation kerosene production, causing partial collapse of water treatment facilities.

Ukrainian drones also struck electrical substations in Rylsk in Kursk Oblast and Frolovskaya in Volgograd Oblast, leaving 16,000 consumers without power. Ukraine's Main Military Intelligence Directorate reported ongoing special operations in Pokrovsk following an October 31 heliborne assault, and struck the Rubikon Center for Advanced Unmanned Technologies headquarters in occupied Avdiivka with an FP-2 drone, killing officers and elite drone operators. Ukrainian forces advanced south of Predtechyne and Oleksandro-Shultyne, improving defensive positions east of Kostyantynivka. Russian forces advanced in northern Sumy Oblast south of Lukashivka, though Ukrainian Border Guard reported Russia appears to be deprioritizing this axis.

Russian war crime documented in Kharkiv Oblast

Russian forces committed a clear war crime in Kruhlyakivka, northeast of Borova in Kharkiv Oblast, when an FPV drone deliberately struck two unarmed civilians carrying a white flag and walking a dog. Both civilians and the dog were killed, with bodies unable to be evacuated or identified. The 77th Airmobile Brigade documented and reported the incident on November 4.

NATO nuclear facility targeted by sophisticated drone surveillance

Sophisticated drone incursions occurred over multiple consecutive nights from October 31 to November 2 at Kleine-Brogel Air Base in Peer, Belgium, a NATO facility housing an estimated 10-15 US B-61 nuclear bombs. Belgian Defense Minister Theo Francken confirmed drones conducted systematic surveillance, evading helicopter interception attempts and changing frequencies to defeat jamming equipment. On November 4, Belgium's Chief of Defence General Frederik Vansina issued authorization to shoot down unauthorized drones over military bases, the first such Belgian military authorization. The incident exposed serious NATO air defense vulnerabilities and represents suspected Russian intelligence operations.

Russia escalates mobilization and weapons production

President Vladimir Putin signed two critical military laws on November 4. The first enables year-round military conscription starting January 1, 2026, replacing twice-yearly draft cycles to facilitate faster force generation. The second requires active reservists to protect critical infrastructure, potentially enabling deployment to combat zones without formal war declaration. Putin also announced Russia has begun serial production of Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missiles during National Unity Day ceremonies, threatening European security architectures. One of four remaining Russian Project 1124M anti-submarine corvettes caught fire at Sukharna Bay pier in occupied Sevastopol, with cause unclear.

The Council of the EU approved the fifth tranche of Ukraine Facility funding totaling €1.8 billion on November 4, including withheld funds from previous payments, part of the €50 billion Ukraine Facility program running 2024-2027.

Americas

  • U.S. military conducted 16th airstrike on alleged drug vessel in eastern Pacific Ocean killing 2 people on November 4
  • USS Gerald R. Ford carrier and USS Bainbridge crossed Straits of Gibraltar heading to Caribbean in largest deployment since 1989
  • U.S. naval forces total 10 warships, 6,000 personnel, 80 aircraft, and 200 Tomahawk missiles in Caribbean regional deployment
  • Barbados Ambassador warned of Caribbean militarization and possible U.S. return to Monroe Doctrine enforcement at CARICOM program on November 4
  • Mexican security forces killed 13 suspected cartel members in Sinaloa state shootout amid ongoing Sinaloa Cartel factional violence on November 4
Sixteenth deadly U.S. strike targets alleged drug vessel

The U.S. military conducted its 16th airstrike on an alleged drug-trafficking vessel in the eastern Pacific Ocean on November 4, killing 2 people aboard. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth announced the strike while in South Korea for security meetings. This brings the total death toll from the U.S. Caribbean and Pacific strikes campaign to at least 66 people since operations began. The campaign has drawn international condemnation, with UN Human Rights Chief Volker Türk calling for the U.S. to halt strikes on October 31 and Amnesty International declaring strikes illegal and constituting murder. Congressional debate continues over War Powers Act requirements and presidential authority, with no congressional authorization for use of military force granted.

USS Gerald R. Ford carrier strike group deploys to Caribbean

The USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier and destroyer USS Bainbridge crossed through the Straits of Gibraltar from the Mediterranean Sea into the Atlantic Ocean on November 4, en route to the Caribbean. The world's largest and most advanced aircraft carrier will join approximately 10 U.S. Navy warships and 6,000 sailors and Marines already deployed in the Caribbean, representing the largest U.S. naval deployment in Latin America since the 1989 Panama invasion.

The carrier strike group includes approximately 80 strike aircraft and Tomahawk-equipped surface combatants, adding approximately 200 Tomahawk cruise missiles to regional arsenal. The Pentagon stated the deployment aims to disrupt illicit actors, counter narcoterrorism, and degrade transnational criminal organizations. Venezuela's Maduro regime views the deployment as a direct threat and mobilized Su-30 jets with anti-ship missiles in response, while Trinidad and Tobago placed defense forces on full readiness alert. The New York Times reported November 4 that the Trump administration developed three military options for Venezuela operations including airstrikes on Venezuelan military facilities, special forces raids to capture or eliminate Maduro, and occupation of oil fields.

Regional diplomatic alarm over U.S. military expansion

Barbados' Ambassador to CARICOM, Ambassador David Comissiong, issued public warnings on November 4 during his weekly Conversations on CARICOM program, expressing serious concerns about militarization of the Caribbean region and suggesting a full-scale reversion to the Monroe Doctrine by the United States. The statement reflects growing alarm among 15 CARICOM member states about U.S. military demands and sovereignty concerns.

Cartel violence continues in Mexico

Mexican security forces killed 13 suspected drug cartel members in a shootout in Sinaloa state on November 4, as ongoing violence between rival factions of the Sinaloa Cartel continues following the arrest of cartel leader Ismael "El Mayo" Zambada in July 2025. The confrontation occurred amid continued instability in the region as cartel factions battle for territorial control.

Middle East & North Africa

  • Hamas handed over IDF Staff Sergeant Itay Chen's body at 8:00 PM via Red Cross in Gaza City Shejaiya neighborhood
  • Chen killed October 7, 2023 was last remaining hostage with U.S. citizenship held by Hamas since attacks began
  • Israeli Defense Forces destroyed Hamas tunnel spanning hundreds of meters in Jabalia area within Israeli-controlled Yellow Line zone
  • IDF troops located rocket launching site with multiple launchers and rockets in Shejaiya neighborhood of Gaza City on November 4
  • Israeli military patrols conducted house searches in Quneitra Governorate villages including Al-Hurriya, Ufania, Tell Ahmar in southern Syria
  • Multiple attacks targeted Syrian military in Al-Bukamal, Deir ez-Zor province injuring at least 2 personnel on November 4
  • Iranian security forces arrested 3 government critics and summoned another confiscating electronic devices on November 4 in Tehran
Hamas returns body of last American hostage

Hamas announced and executed the handover of IDF Staff Sergeant Itay Chen's body at approximately 8:00 PM via Red Cross in Gaza City's Shejaiya neighborhood. Chen was killed on October 7, 2023, and was the last remaining hostage with U.S. citizenship. This marked the first hostage body return since the ceasefire resumption and represented significant humanitarian compliance with ceasefire terms established in the U.S.-brokered Gaza ceasefire that began October 10, 2025.

Israeli operations continue in Gaza despite ceasefire

Israeli Defense Forces conducted operations within the Israeli-controlled Yellow Line area, destroying a Hamas tunnel spanning hundreds of meters and dozens of meters deep in the Jabalia area. Troops from the Yiftah Reserve Brigade and 188th Armored Brigade also located a rocket launching site with multiple launchers and rockets in Shejaiya neighborhood. Israeli forces continued demolitions across Gaza despite the ceasefire, with an estimated 75,000 displaced people sheltering in overcrowded UNRWA buildings.

Syria attacks and Israeli operations in Quneitra

Multiple attacks targeted Syrian military positions in Al-Bukamal, eastern Deir ez-Zor province. An explosive device detonated in front of the 86th Division headquarters, and unknown gunmen threw a grenade at the site, injuring at least 2 Syrian military personnel. A second attack targeted military headquarters on Al-Arsad Street, causing additional injuries. The attacks indicate ongoing instability in eastern Syria near the Iraqi border.

Israeli military patrols conducted house searches and advanced positions in multiple villages in Quneitra Governorate in southern Syria near Israeli-occupied Golan Heights, including Al-Hurriya, Ufania, Tell Ahmar, and Al-Mushairifa villages. Israeli tanks and military vehicles established positions along key roads. Syria condemned the movements as sovereignty violations. The operations represent ongoing Israeli military presence following the December 2024 Assad regime fall.

Iran domestic repression continues

Iranian security forces arrested 3 government critics and summoned another person on November 4, confiscating electronic devices. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stated that cooperation between Iran and the United States is not possible as long as Washington supports Israel and maintains regional military bases.

Africa

  • Drone strike killed 40 people at funeral in Al-Luweib village near El-Obeid, North Kordofan State Sudan on November 4
  • Local authorities blamed Rapid Support Forces paramilitary for attack amid escalating Kordofan and Darfur fighting after El Fasher capture
  • UN Secretary-General warned Sudan war spiraling out of control with hundreds of thousands trapped in sieges at Doha summit
  • Boko Haram launched 4:30 AM assault on Nigerian military base in Kangar, Mallamfatori, Borno State with drones and mortars
  • Nigerian Joint Task Force with Nigerien Air Force repelled attack neutralizing scores of terrorists with several soldiers injured
  • Terrorist Financing Targeting Center designated 15 al-Shabaab leaders and operatives in Somalia's Lower Shabelle and Juba regions
Sudan drone strike kills 40 civilians at funeral

A drone struck a funeral gathering in Al-Luweib village near El-Obeid, North Kordofan State, killing at least 40 people on November 4. Local authorities blamed the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces for the attack, which occurred amid escalating fighting across Kordofan and Darfur regions following RSF's October 26 capture of El Fasher. The RSF has not commented on the incident.

UN Secretary-General António Guterres delivered a stark warning at the Second World Summit for Social Development in Doha, Qatar, stating the war in Sudan is spiraling out of control with credible reports of widespread executions following RSF's El Fasher takeover. Guterres cited hundreds of thousands of civilians trapped in sieges, with people dying of malnutrition, disease and violence. More than 40,000 have been killed since April 2023, 14 million displaced, and two regions experiencing famine.

Nigeria repels major Boko Haram assault with regional air support

Boko Haram terrorists launched a major attack at approximately 4:30 AM on a Nigerian military Forward Operating Base in Kangar, Mallamfatori, Abadam Local Government Area of Borno State in far northern Borno bordering Niger Republic. Joint Task Force troops of Operation Hadin Kai, with critical air support from the Nigerien Air Force, successfully repelled the assault. Scores of Boko Haram terrorists were neutralized, while several Civilian Joint Task Force members and soldiers sustained injuries.

Terrorists deployed armed drones and mortars in the sophisticated attack, with several arms and ammunition recovered. The successful defense demonstrated effective Nigerian-Nigerien military cooperation against cross-border terrorist threats in the Lake Chad Basin region.

Multilateral counterterrorism sanctions target al-Shabaab networks

The Terrorist Financing Targeting Center comprising the United States and six Gulf Cooperation Council members announced joint designations of 15 al-Shabaab leaders, operatives, and financial facilitators operating in Somalia's Lower Shabelle, Lower Juba, and Middle Juba regions. The 7th round of joint TFTC designations targets individuals involved in fundraising, IED proliferation, illegal fee collection through al-Shabaab's Hisbah police force, kidnappings, and IED manufacture.

Key individuals include Hasaan Abshir Xuuroow serving as intelligence and finance officer, Mumin Dheere as deputy emir, and Mohamed Abdullah Hirey as Governor of Juba Region. The designations aim to disrupt terrorist access to international financial systems and degrade al-Shabaab operational capabilities.

Asia-Pacific

  • Philippines initiated Exercise Dagitpa 9-day high-intensity exercise with 2,000 troops testing beach defense and missile defense capabilities
  • Philippine military chief stated country at war with disinformation, coercion, and territorial encroachment referencing South China Sea tensions
  • U.S. Treasury sanctioned 8 individuals and 2 entities involved in North Korea cryptocurrency theft and money laundering operations
  • Sanctioned entities include Ryujong Credit Bank and Korea Mangyongdae Computer Technology Company operating in China and Russia
  • North Korea-affiliated cybercriminals stole over $3 billion in cryptocurrency over three years funding WMD and ballistic missile programs
Philippines launches major defensive exercise amid China tensions

The Philippines initiated Exercise Dagitpa, a 9-day high-intensity military exercise involving approximately 2,000 Filipino troops, testing beach defense, naval fire support, and missile defense capabilities. Philippine military chief General Romeo S. Brawner Jr. stated we are already at war with disinformation, with coercion, and with encroachment into our territories, referring to South China Sea tensions with China. The exercise tests the Armed Forces' ability to defend against invasion threats for up to one month until allies could arrive.

Major U.S. sanctions target North Korea cyber operations

The U.S. Department of Treasury OFAC and State Department announced comprehensive sanctions against 8 individuals and 2 entities involved in North Korea's illicit cryptocurrency theft and money laundering operations. Sanctioned entities include Ryujong Credit Bank, a North Korea-based financial institution, and Korea Mangyongdae Computer Technology Company, an IT company operating workers in China and Russia. The sanctions target operations in North Korea, China including Shenyang and Dandong, and Russia including Vladivostok.

Over the past three years, North Korea-affiliated cybercriminals have stolen over $3 billion, primarily in cryptocurrency. The targeted networks manage funds worth millions, including $5.3 million in cryptocurrency linked to ransomware attacks against U.S. victims. The sanctions aim to disrupt funding for North Korea's WMD and ballistic missile programs.

South & Central Asia

  • Sikh pilgrims from India crossed Wagah-Attari border into Pakistan for Guru Nanak birth anniversary celebrations on November 4
  • Border crossing marked first significant civilian movement since border closed following May 2025 India-Pakistan conflict and subsequent ceasefire
  • Indian Border Security Force inspected documents while Pakistani officials received pilgrims with flowers at Wagah-Attari border crossing
  • Kartarpur Corridor visa-free route for Sikhs remained closed as religious diplomacy continues during Afghanistan-Pakistan ceasefire period
First major India-Pakistan border crossing since May conflict

Sikh pilgrims from India crossed at the Wagah-Attari border into Pakistan for Guru Nanak birth anniversary celebrations, marking the first significant civilian border crossing since the border was closed following the May 2025 India-Pakistan conflict. Indian Border Security Force personnel inspected documents and monitored the crossing, while Pakistani officials received pilgrims with flowers and rose petals. The Kartarpur Corridor visa-free route for Sikhs remained closed. Pakistan's High Commission described the decision as consistent with efforts to promote inter-religious and inter-cultural harmony.

The crossing occurred during the active Afghanistan-Pakistan ceasefire period brokered by Qatar, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia running from October 19 to November 6, following intense October border clashes, and months after the India-Pakistan May 2025 ceasefire took effect.

Cyber & Space

  • U.S. Treasury removed Belarusian state airline Belavia from sanctions list on November 4 in first Belarus détente measure
  • OFAC authorized transactions involving President Lukashenko's aircraft including three family planes and one helicopter for commercial operations
  • Sanctions relief follows Belarus release of 52 political prisoners in September 2025 signaling potential Trump administration policy shift
  • No major cyberattacks, ransomware, or infrastructure breaches occurred November 4 during preparation period before Guy Fawkes Day threats
  • Philippines President Marcos ordered government agencies heighten cybersecurity November 4 anticipating November 5 International Day of Hacktivists DDoS attacks
U.S. lifts sanctions on Belarus airline

The U.S. Department of Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control removed Belarusian state airline Belavia from its sanctions list and authorized transactions involving aircraft linked to President Alexander Lukashenko on November 4. The action permits U.S. entities to conduct business with Belavia and allows commercial and technical operations for specified government aircraft, including three Lukashenko family aircraft and one helicopter.

The sanctions relief represents the first significant U.S.-Belarus détente measure in years, following Belarus's release of 52 political prisoners in September 2025. EU sanctions on Belavia remain in effect. The move signals a potential shift in U.S. approach under the Trump administration.

Quiet cyber day ahead of anticipated threats

No major cyberattacks, ransomware incidents, or infrastructure breaches occurred on November 4, 2025. The date fell during a preparation period, as the Philippines and other nations warned of possible DDoS attacks expected on November 5, Guy Fawkes Day also known as International Day of Hacktivists. Philippines President Marcos ordered government agencies to heighten cybersecurity on November 4 in anticipation of threats the following day.